InterRegional for Strategic Analysis

In February of 2022, InterRegional for Strategic Analysis held a panel discussion entitled, "Missing Strategy: US Policy Toward the Middle East in 2022," featuring Dr. John Calabrese, professor of International Relations at American University in Washington, DC; Prof. David Des Roches of the Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies at the National Defense University; Dr. Matthew Kroenig, professor of political science at Georgetown University and director of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative at the Atlantic Council; and Dr. Anna Borshchevskaya, senior fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Dale Sprusansky, Managing Editor at the Washington Report on Middle East Affairs, moderated the panel discussion. InterRegional researchers in Abu Dhabi were in attendance, and the center’s researchers in Cairo also participated. 

The Future of US Policy toward the Middle East in 2022 (Panel Discussion)

Missing Strategy:

In light of recent developments with the war in Ukraine, and in order to better understand the Middle East’s political, security, and economic stakes in this war, InterRegional For Strategic Analysis held a discussion panel entitled "Regional Fallout: What are the Repercussions of the War in Ukraine for the Middle East?" The panel was led by Dr. Li-Chen Sim, a professor at Khalifa University in Abu Dhabi and a non-resident scholar at the Middle East Institute in Washington, D.C., and included researchers based in both Abu Dhabi and Cairo. Dale Sprusansky, Assistant Editor at the Washington Report for Middle East Affairs, moderated the panel discussion.

What are the Repercussions of the War in Ukraine for the Middle East? (Panel Discussion)

Regional Fallout:

On 25 February 2022, InterRegional for Strategic Analysis held a discussion panel entitled, "The Day After: What Happens After the Russian War on Ukraine?" featuring Dr. Samuel Ramani, Lecturer of International Relations at the University of Oxford and Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute in Britain. The panel addressed developments in the Ukrainian crisis after the Russian intervention in Ukraine, the implications of this intervention, and possible scenarios for the crisis.

What Happens After the Russian War on Ukraine? (Panel Discussion)

The Day After:

Areas of disagreement between the US administration and the Turkish regime have increased over the recent period, including mounting US pressure on the Turkish Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) that Ankara seeks to use abroad more widely to enhance the country’s mental image and net a good economic return, especially given the success of Turkish drones in conflict areas such as Nagorno-Karabakh and Libya. In this framework, on December 27, 2021, the Biden administration signed a defense bill allowing the US government to track and evaluate the US national security implications posed by Turkey’s expanding unmanned drone program. Moreover, the law allows the US State Department and the Pentagon to report on exports of Turkish unmanned drones since 2018, and whether they contain parts or technology manufactured by American companies. This measure supplements US sanctions on the Turkish defense industries sector, but this is the first time the drone industry has been targeted, which suggests that Washington is seeking to further block the Turkish military sector in the next phase.

Why is Washington Targeting the Turkish Drone Program?

Intensifying Pressure:

On December 22, 2021, InterRegional for Strategic Analysis hosted Dr. Mohammed Ezz-Al-Arab, the head of the Arab and Regional Studies Unit at Al-Ahram Centre for Political and Strategic Studies, for a discussion panel on projections for the Middle East for 2022. InterRegional’s researchers in Abu Dhabi also participated. The discussion panel highlighted ten expected trends, most notably the complexity of the political transition crises in the Arab region, with reference to certain models, such as Libya, Sudan, and even Tunisia, as well as an emphasis on the postponement of political settlements in conflict areas during the new year, especially in Syria and Yemen.

Projections for the Middle East in 2022 (Panel Discussion)

Ten Issues:

It appears that the activity of terrorist organizations could spike upwards in some areas, specifically in South Asia, following the Taliban takeover in Afghanistan and the implications of that on the activity of extremist groups in those areas. ISIS operations against the Taliban have increased, amid talk of greater freedom of movement for Al-Qaeda after the US withdrawal. Turning to Africa, which is in crisis in the first place, it is possible to expect an increase in terrorist activity, and even an increase in qualitative operations. For ISIS specifically, this is in light of the transition to a new stage of attempting to take control and extend influence, specifically towards the Lake Chad Basin and in the Sahel region. ISIS is also expected to continue trying to regain its positions in Iraq and Syria. Given counterterrorism trends, negotiating with armed groups might emerge as an option in some countries, while the US strategy of targeting the leaders and cadres of terrorist organizations looks like it will continue. There may be an increasing role for private security companies, and some countries could turn to using artificial intelligence technologies in the fight against terrorism.

Terrorist Activity Trends in 2022

Ascending Curve:

InterRegional for Strategic Analysis held a panel discussion in November 2021 entitled "The View from Moscow: How Are Russia and Iran Dealing with US Sanctions?" The panel hosted Dr. Violetta Arkhipova, a senior researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences and the official representative of the Economic Advisor to President Putin on matters of international cooperation, as well as a member of the Eurasian Economic Commission led by the Minister of Integration and Macroeconomics.

How Are Russia and Iran Dealing with US Sanctions? (Panel Discussion)

Flexible Adaptation:

The book: "Move: The forces uprooting us" by the prominent American author and strategist Parag Khanna is one of the important publications that anticipate Fundamental changes of the world as we know it due to migration, Geostrategic shifts, and interaction between generations. Moreover, the book addresses human geography transformations by prospecting the rising societal, economic, and demographic trends that will shape the future. These include the acceleration of human movements overseas, the emergence of a new generation of global citizens, the Americans’ preparedness for a permanent move, and the Robots’ replacement of traditional jobs. This video presents the key ideas of the book. You can also watch it on the official YouTube Channel of Interregional for Strategic Analysis through this link.

How does immigration shape the future of humanity in a new world?

A Book in 60 Seconds:

An atmosphere of polarization and anticipation has settled over US-China relations, complicating other countries’ dilemma in managing the conflicts between the main player in the international order and its rising, globally-expanding counterpart. The intricacies in dealing with the conflict between Beijing and Washington are connected to the latter’s mounting pressure on countries around the world to curtail their economic, technological, and military relations with China. Against this backdrop, InterRegional for Strategic Analysis organized a panel discussion entitled, "Cold War 2.0: How Are Different Countries Dealing with US-China Tensions?" The panel featured Dr. Jonathan Fulton, Professor at Zayed University and a Non-resident Fellow at the Atlantic Council.

InterRegional for Strategic Analysis

InterRegional for Strategic Analysis

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